Foreclosure: A Great Contributor in the Record Breaking Crash in Home Prices
Monday, December 1st, 2008The increasing foreclosure cases, the weak economy and uncontrollable job losses contributed to taking home prices as it was in 2004.
The 15.1 percent drop in home price during the second quarter is currently topped by the 16.6 percent continued decline according to the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price national index. 10 main cities are down by 18.6 percent and 20 other cities fell by 17.4 percent. Thanks to foreclosure’s contribution.
Foreclosure depressed the 10-city index by 23.4 percent from its top price in June 2006. It has been falling for 26 months. The 20-city index is also 21.8 percent weak from the July 2006 high. Then, the national index has crashed by 21 percent since 2006.
The worst market is in Phoenix where loss reached 31.9 percent. Las Vegas and San Francisco lost 31.3 percent and 29.5 percent respectively. The best markets Dallas and Charlotte still showed decline of 2.7 percent and 3.5 percent.
The others in the 10-city index downed (in percent) by foreclosure are:
- Miami-28.4
- Los Angeles-27.6
- San Diego-26.3
- Washington-17
- Chicago-10.1
- New York-7.3
- Boston-5.7
- Denver-5.4
Others in the 20-city index also experienced the drop (in percent):
- Detroit-18.6
- Tampa, Fla.-18.5
- Minneapolis-14
- Seattle-9.8
- Atlanta-9.5
- Portland, Ore-8.6
- Cleveland-6.4
In cities like Las Vegas and Cleveland, sales mainly involved repossessed properties, owned by banks and were re-sold at cheaper prices.
Standard & Poor’s spokesman David Blitzer says that index prices are moderate because they cover exurban and rural areas. Karl Case, an economics professor is unsure on how much more prices can falter, but was definite that rampant lay-offs can worsen the problem.
Economist with Global Insight Pat Newport said that the economy suffered toward the end of the 3rd quarter. Starting there housing permits were infrequent, the National Association of Home Builders have few activities and purchase loan applications fell by 15 percent, foreclosure as a contributor.